Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.266765 0.306305 0.348772 0.397666 0.452292 0.511329 0.579842
2025-12-07 0.196298 0.248163 0.308397 0.383059 0.472627 0.576104 0.704143
2025-12-14 0.151673 0.210124 0.283162 0.380018 0.503830 0.655447 0.853627
2025-12-21 0.116143 0.175998 0.256272 0.369724 0.523516 0.722036 0.994486
2025-12-28 0.096710 0.159106 0.248312 0.381704 0.571966 0.828845 1.196107
2026-01-04 0.081534 0.145072 0.241540 0.393494 0.620466 0.939440 1.412202
2026-01-11 0.067220 0.129299 0.229281 0.394872 0.653273 1.030276 1.607940
2026-01-18 0.055627 0.115464 0.217478 0.394654 0.682649 1.117565 1.804439
2026-01-25 0.046086 0.103109 0.205854 0.392596 0.708032 1.199913 1.998705
2026-02-01 0.038564 0.092829 0.195954 0.391631 0.734251 1.284588 2.201394
2026-02-08 0.032477 0.084000 0.187105 0.390958 0.760186 1.369875 2.409781
2026-02-15 0.027030 0.075222 0.176803 0.385993 0.777647 1.441902 2.600817
2026-02-22 0.023556 0.070176 0.173246 0.393480 0.818222 1.555880 2.868750
2026-03-01 0.019637 0.063058 0.164167 0.388925 0.836223 1.632636 3.079799
2026-03-08 0.016920 0.058284 0.159332 0.392199 0.868935 1.736840 3.343196
2026-03-15 0.014027 0.052192 0.150398 0.385603 0.881743 1.806255 3.550466
2026-03-22 0.012751 0.050439 0.151435 0.400627 0.938434 1.958453 3.910843
2026-03-29 0.011566 0.048628 0.152011 0.414616 0.994059 2.111882 4.281245
2026-04-05 0.010029 0.045203 0.147848 0.417141 1.026028 2.222708 4.580325
2026-04-12 0.008635 0.041797 0.143098 0.417602 1.053475 2.326291 4.871131
2026-04-19 0.007372 0.038415 0.137761 0.415876 1.075856 2.421107 5.150098
2026-04-26 0.006324 0.035465 0.133085 0.415138 1.100172 2.520880 5.442951
2026-05-03 0.005433 0.032800 0.128728 0.414605 1.124747 2.622338 5.743579